All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

Herding Cats: All Models Are Wrong

Tuning an In-Game Win Probability Model Using xgboost – Staturdays

nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football

What did George E. P. Box mean by “all models are wrong, but some are useful” (probability, measure theory, physics, math)? - Quora

nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football

StatsbyLopez

NFL Coaches Yell At Refs Because It Freakin' Works

Resources - David L. Carey

Study shows Warriors have huge home court advantage, but will that disappear with Oracle when the team moves? - Golden State Of Mind

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press